Ticker League

Fair Value for BancFirst (BANF)

See growth priced into BancFirst (BANF): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what BANF is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$519.10

Margin of safety
+77.78% vs current price $115.36

Method range

$48.93 $519.10

median $113.50

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$519.10
  • Exit multiple$102.00
  • Analyst target$125.00
  • Graham number$48.93

Stock price

$115.36

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.94

3Y FCF CAGR

7.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$55.35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

16.5%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -108.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

7.1%

Your model implies

16.5%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)7.7%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)7%
3Y CAGR 7%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 7% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.7%12.5%11.2%9.8%8.1%6.1%
6.7%15.6%14.5%13.4%12.2%10.7%
7.7%18.3%17.5%16.5%15.5%14.4%
8.7%20.8%20.1%19.3%18.5%17.5%
9.7%23.2%22.5%21.8%21.1%20.3%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday14.7
5Y low13.8
Median15.0
5Y high17.9
P/SToday4.3
5Y low4.0
Median4.3
5Y high4.8
EV/EBITDAToday10.6· at high
5Y low1.4
Median2.3
5Y high10.6

PEG

2.57

Demanding vs growth

Net cash

$93.3M

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.60

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions