Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LUV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3.95
Method range
$3.95 – $103.78
median $32.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3.95 | -91.72% |
| Exit multiple | $103.78 | +117.76% |
| Analyst target | $52.05 | +9.21% |
| Graham number | $12.33 | -74.12% |
- Forward DCF$3.95
- Exit multiple$103.78
- Analyst target$52.05
- Graham number$12.33
Stock price
$47.66
EPS (TTM)
$1.63
5Y EPS CAGR
-24.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.95
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
13.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,108.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-24.5%
Your model implies
13.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
89.7%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| 9.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| 11.3% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| 12.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.02
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.15B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.12
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Southwest Airlines (LUV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks6.10% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.51% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History14 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.