Progressive (PGR) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
PGR
Archetype
Steady
Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
Win rate
46.0%
5350 green · 4880 red · 1408 flat · 11638 sessions
Current streak
2 red
As of May 20, 2026
Max win / lose streak
12 / 9 days
Win streak return: +12.79% · Lose: 3.18%
Median / σ daily
+0.000% · 1.793%
Avg green +1.36% · avg red 1.27%
Extreme days (>3%)
7.1%
482 up · 340 down
History from Mar 18, 1980 through May 20, 2026 · 11638 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
May 23, 2025 – May 20, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2008 | +23.93% |
| Oct 19, 2000 | +20.98% |
| Oct 16, 1998 | +17.63% |
| Apr 19, 2001 | +15.29% |
| Oct 13, 2008 | +14.10% |
| Jul 15, 1993 | +13.87% |
| Jul 18, 1996 | +13.59% |
| Oct 19, 1992 | +13.43% |
| Mar 13, 2020 | +12.15% |
| May 15, 2000 | +12.10% |
| Apr 22, 1980 | +11.46% |
| Sep 30, 2008 | +10.84% |
| Mar 15, 2000 | +10.71% |
| Mar 16, 2000 | +10.48% |
| Oct 28, 2008 | +10.36% |
| Oct 30, 1987 | +10.18% |
| Mar 21, 2000 | +10.08% |
| Apr 17, 1997 | +9.75% |
| Apr 15, 2009 | +9.38% |
| Oct 21, 1987 | +9.31% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2000 | 19.40% | 46 |
| Jan 26, 1999 | 18.87% | 766 |
| Oct 27, 1982 | 17.68% | 91 |
| Oct 19, 1987 | 14.45% | 188 |
| Aug 30, 1999 | 13.75% | 421 |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 13.12% | 24 |
| Oct 7, 2008 | 13.01% | 45 |
| Sep 27, 1990 | 12.59% | 42 |
| Apr 19, 2000 | 12.58% | 16 |
| Jan 13, 1982 | 12.11% | 33 |
| Feb 9, 1987 | 11.52% | 129 |
| Dec 1, 2008 | 11.33% | 5 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 10.23% | 30 |
| Oct 31, 1986 | 9.93% | 695 |
| Oct 15, 2008 | 9.84% | 39 |
| Sep 29, 2008 | 9.51% | 1 |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 9.47% | 58 |
| Oct 12, 2000 | 9.44% | 5 |
| Oct 6, 2008 | 8.84% | 163 |
| Jan 22, 2009 | 8.83% | 41 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Progressive (PGR)?
Historically, Progressive (PGR) closed green on 46.0% of trading days (5350 green, 4880 red, 1408 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Progressive (PGR)?
As of 2026-05-20, Progressive (PGR) is on a 2-day losing streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Progressive (PGR)?
We label Progressive (PGR) as "steady" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Progressive (PGR)?
Largest single-day gain: +23.93%. Largest single-day loss: 19.40%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Progressive (PGR)?
We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 7.1% of trading days for Progressive (PGR) were extreme (482 up, 340 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.
Explore more
PGR Overview
Company profile, financial tools, and key metrics
PGR Revenue Counter
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PGR Earnings Counter
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PGR Economic Scale
Exceeds Cote d'Ivoire's GDP. Compare with world economies.
PGR What If Invested
What if you had invested $1,000? See historical returns from any date.
PGR How It Makes Money
Discover visual breakdown of $89.42B in revenue — where it comes from and where it goes.
PGR Stock Seasonality
Best and worst months to invest. Historical monthly returns heatmap.
PGR Price Target Scenarios
Model bear, base, and bull cases with EPS growth and exit P/E — pre-filled from analysts and history.
PGR Buybacks
0.51% TTM buyback yield. Shareholder yield & SBC comparison.
PGR Stock Split History
9 splits on record. Dates, ratios, and cumulative multiple.
PGR Dividend Profile
Yield: 6.86%. Safety: 6/8. See full history.
PGR Dividend Calculator
How much dividend income would $1,000 have earned? Calculate from any date.
PGR Dividend Forecast
Project future income with DRIP, growth assumptions, and optional monthly contributions.
PGR Dividend Capture
Historical pre-ex touch stats, gap distribution, after-tax calculator, and a backtest simulator (limit-order vs MOC exit).
PGR Financials
Revenue, EPS, EBITDA, market cap, debt and balance sheet history with annual and quarterly data.