PRU dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Prudential Financial (PRU) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.51), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PRU sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 25, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.51
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.51 | +0.21 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.22% | -0.64pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.40% | +1.00pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 29 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$1.40
Per-event yield
1.34%
Annualized yield
5.36%
Previously paid
May 26, 2026 ($1.40)
Last record date
May 26, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 11, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Prudential Financial (PRU). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.40 | -1.28% | $104.12 | 9 | no | yes | -4.31% | -0.00% | |
| Q1 | $1.40 | -0.81% | $104.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.13% | -2.70% | |
| Q4 | $1.35 | -1.89% | $103.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +5.98% | |
| Q3 | $1.35 | -1.32% | $106.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +3.85% | |
| Q2 | $1.35 | -1.25% | $107.98 | 29 | no | yes | -7.39% | -3.46% | |
| Q1 | $1.35 | -1.02% | $111.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.69% | +0.80% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -2.45% | $128.14 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +1.77% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | -1.10% | $115.77 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +2.98% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | -1.12% | $121.31 | >30 | no | no | -4.25% | -1.88% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | -1.69% | $109.29 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.88% | -0.86% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -1.87% | $95.75 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +1.45% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -0.97% | $92.80 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +2.27% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | -1.38% | $82.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.44% | +0.48% | |
| Q1 | $1.25 | -1.33% | $103.11 | >30 | no | no | -5.69% | -2.74% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -1.43% | $107.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +0.43% | |
| Q3 | $1.20 | -2.80% | $103.40 | >30 | no | no | -9.69% | -4.08% | |
| Q2 | $1.20 | 1.17% | $98.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.42% | +8.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | -1.30% | $119.86 | 26 | no | yes | -12.27% | -4.92% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | -0.24% | $106.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.12% | -2.93% | |
| Q3 | $1.15 | -0.31% | $104.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.33% | +2.53% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with PRU's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PRU ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.00%
Win rate (20 trades)
70%
Cumulative P&L
+0.05%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+22.79%
Best event
+1.52%
Worst event
-4.92%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PRU (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.10% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -4.92% | |
| +1.22% | |
| -4.08% | |
| +1.12% | |
| -2.74% | |
| +1.52% | |
| +1.35% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.19% | |
| -1.88% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.21% | |
| -3.46% | |
| +1.27% | |
| +1.30% | |
| +1.34% | |
| -0.00% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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