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Fair Value for Prudential Financial (PRU)

See growth priced into Prudential Financial (PRU): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what PRU is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$132.31

Near fair value
+10.17% vs current price $118.85

Method range

$59.60 $140.57

median $117.54

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$132.31
  • Exit multiple$140.57
  • Analyst target$102.78
  • Graham number$59.60

Stock price

$118.85

FCF / share (TTM)

$2.90

3Y FCF CAGR

-9.8%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$19.02

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

14.8%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -524.9% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-9.8%

Your model implies

14.8%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)8.9%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-10%
3Y CAGR -10%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -10% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
6.9%11.3%10.4%9.4%8.3%7.0%
7.9%13.9%13.1%12.3%11.3%10.3%
8.9%16.2%15.5%14.8%14.1%13.2%
9.9%18.4%17.8%17.2%16.5%15.8%
10.9%20.4%19.9%19.4%18.8%18.2%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday11.1
5Y low4.8
Median11.1
5Y high15.7
P/SToday0.7· at high
5Y low0.6
Median0.6
5Y high0.7
EV/EBITDAToday8.7
5Y low5.3
Median14.5
5Y high284.7

Net debt

$3.25B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.84

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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