Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SBUX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$51.06
Method range
$51.06 – $108.53
median $64.63
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $51.06 | -50.89% |
| Exit multiple | $64.63 | -37.84% |
| Analyst target | $108.53 | +4.38% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$51.06
- Exit multiple$64.63
- Analyst target$108.53
- Graham number—
Stock price
$103.98
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.08
3Y FCF CAGR
-13.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.39
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
68.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -26,730.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-13.4%
Your model implies
68.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | 63.3% | 62.0% | 60.5% | 59.0% | 57.2% |
| 8.5% | 67.0% | 65.9% | 64.7% | 63.3% | 61.9% |
| 9.5% | 70.5% | 69.5% | 68.4% | 67.3% | 66.0% |
| 10.5% | 73.8% | 72.9% | 71.9% | 70.9% | 69.8% |
| 11.5% | 76.9% | 76.0% | 75.2% | 74.3% | 73.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.66
Low vs growth
Net debt
$23.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.97
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Starbucks (SBUX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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- Dividend Profile2.38% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.