Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SBUX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$51.77
Method range
$51.77 – $108.50
median $64.69
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $51.77 | -45.67% |
| Exit multiple | $64.69 | -32.11% |
| Analyst target | $108.50 | +13.86% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$51.77
- Exit multiple$64.69
- Analyst target$108.50
- Graham number—
Stock price
$95.29
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.08
3Y FCF CAGR
-13.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.39
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
66.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -24307.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-13.4%
Your model implies
66.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 61.5% | 60.2% | 58.8% | 57.2% | 55.4% |
| 8.4% | 65.3% | 64.1% | 62.9% | 61.6% | 60.1% |
| 9.4% | 68.7% | 67.7% | 66.6% | 65.5% | 64.3% |
| 10.4% | 72.0% | 71.1% | 70.1% | 69.1% | 68.0% |
| 11.4% | 75.0% | 74.2% | 73.4% | 72.5% | 71.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.66
Low vs growth
Net debt
$23.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.98
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Starbucks (SBUX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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