Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AAPL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$339.99
Method range
$18.10 – $339.99
median $279.32
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $339.99 | +4.33% |
| Exit multiple | $221.06 | -32.17% |
| Analyst target | $337.58 | +3.59% |
| Graham number | $18.10 | -94.45% |
- Forward DCF$339.99
- Exit multiple$221.06
- Analyst target$337.58
- Graham number$18.10
Stock price
$325.89
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.82
3Y FCF CAGR
4.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.20
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,055.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.5%
Your model implies
38.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 34.9% | 33.9% | 32.9% | 31.8% | 30.6% |
| 9.2% | 37.7% | 36.9% | 36.0% | 35.1% | 34.0% |
| 10.2% | 40.3% | 39.6% | 38.8% | 38.0% | 37.1% |
| 11.2% | 42.8% | 42.1% | 41.5% | 40.7% | 40.0% |
| 12.2% | 45.2% | 44.6% | 44.0% | 43.3% | 42.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$76.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.10
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Apple (AAPL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.14% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.32% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.