Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AAPL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$349.84
Method range
$18.10 – $349.84
median $272.48
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $349.84 | +13.83% |
| Exit multiple | $221.14 | -28.05% |
| Analyst target | $323.82 | +5.36% |
| Graham number | $18.10 | -94.11% |
- Forward DCF$349.84
- Exit multiple$221.14
- Analyst target$323.82
- Graham number$18.10
Stock price
$307.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.82
3Y FCF CAGR
4.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.88
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
37.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -964.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.5%
Your model implies
37.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 33.5% | 32.6% | 31.5% | 30.4% | 29.2% |
| 9.0% | 36.3% | 35.5% | 34.6% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| 10.0% | 39.0% | 38.2% | 37.5% | 36.6% | 35.8% |
| 11.0% | 41.5% | 40.8% | 40.1% | 39.4% | 38.6% |
| 12.0% | 43.8% | 43.3% | 42.6% | 42.0% | 41.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$76.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.09
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Apple (AAPL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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