Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADSK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$64.06
Method range
$28.13 – $681.93
median $187.13
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $64.06 | -68.52% |
| Exit multiple | $681.93 | +235.10% |
| Analyst target | $310.20 | +52.43% |
| Graham number | $28.13 | -86.18% |
- Forward DCF$64.06
- Exit multiple$681.93
- Analyst target$310.20
- Graham number$28.13
Stock price
$203.50
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.15
3Y FCF CAGR
14.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$110.75
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
22.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -83.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
14.2%
Your model implies
22.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 14% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| 10.3% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| 11.3% | 23.8% | 23.3% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 21.5% |
| 12.3% | 25.8% | 25.3% | 24.8% | 24.3% | 23.7% |
| 13.3% | 27.7% | 27.2% | 26.8% | 26.3% | 25.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.45
Low vs growth
Net debt
$485M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.32
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Autodesk (ADSK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.16% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.01% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.