ALLY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ally Financial (ALLY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.24), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ALLY sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 30, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.24
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.24 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.97% | -0.39pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 63% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.75% | +0.65pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.30
Per-event yield
0.69%
Annualized yield
2.77%
Previously paid
Jul 31, 2026 ($0.30)
Last record date
Jul 31, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ally Financial (ALLY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.44% | $43.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.52% | $44.39 | 4 | yes | yes | -6.26% | +0.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.80% | $42.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.27% | +0.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.92% | $39.20 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.91% | +0.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -2.22% | $37.85 | 8 | no | yes | -4.60% | -0.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.61% | $32.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +3.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.73% | $39.84 | >30 | no | no | -7.76% | -3.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.68% | $35.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +8.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.27% | $45.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.80% | -9.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.48% | $39.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +1.38% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -2.47% | $37.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.26% | -4.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -1.05% | $23.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +11.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.27% | $29.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.11% | -1.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.65% | $26.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.77% | -1.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.57% | $31.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +10.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -1.27% | $28.29 | 9 | no | yes | -12.23% | -7.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.31% | $32.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +0.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.23% | $41.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.83% | +1.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -1.15% | $46.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +3.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.83% | $47.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +3.69% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with ALLY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ALLY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.15%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+3.04%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+2.82%
Best event
+1.26%
Worst event
-7.67%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ALLY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.52% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.92% | |
| -7.67% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.86% | |
| -3.11% | |
| +0.92% | |
| -0.18% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.69% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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