Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BKNG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$597,733.96
Method range
$227.83 – $597,733.96
median $283.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $597,733.96 | +335,969.92% |
| Exit multiple | $283.92 | +59.63% |
| Analyst target | $227.83 | +28.10% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$597,733.96
- Exit multiple$283.92
- Analyst target$227.83
- Graham number—
Stock price
$177.86
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.93
3Y FCF CAGR
46.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1,177.21
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 84.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
46.3%
Your model implies
18.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 46% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 8.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% |
| 9.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% |
| 10.0% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| 11.0% | 22.2% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| 12.0% | 24.2% | 23.7% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 22.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.09B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Booking Holdings (BKNG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks6.04% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.90% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.