Ticker League

Fair Value for Synchrony Financial (SYF)

See growth priced into Synchrony Financial (SYF): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what SYF is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$923.74

Margin of safety
+92.33% vs current price $70.84

Method range

$50.45 $923.74

median $74.84

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$923.74
  • Exit multiple$59.94
  • Analyst target$89.75
  • Graham number$50.45

Stock price

$70.84

FCF / share (TTM)

$6.38

3Y FCF CAGR

21.9%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$290.50

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

1.9%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 75.6% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

21.9%

Your model implies

1.9%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)11.4%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)22%
3Y CAGR 22%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 22% annual growth.

Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
9.4%-0.6%-1.0%-1.5%-2.1%-2.6%
10.4%1.1%0.7%0.2%-0.2%-0.7%
11.4%2.6%2.3%1.9%1.5%1.1%
12.4%4.1%3.8%3.5%3.1%2.8%
13.4%5.6%5.3%5.0%4.7%4.4%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday8.4· at high
5Y low5.2
Median7.2
5Y high8.4
P/SToday1.6
5Y low0.9
Median1.2
5Y high2.3
EV/EBITDAToday5.9· at high
5Y low4.5
Median5.3
5Y high5.9

PEG

0.68

Low vs growth

Net debt

$209M

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.36

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions