Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$117.67
Method range
$61.29 – $553.94
median $286.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $117.67 | -68.65% |
| Exit multiple | $553.94 | +47.58% |
| Analyst target | $454.76 | +21.15% |
| Graham number | $61.29 | -83.67% |
- Forward DCF$117.67
- Exit multiple$553.94
- Analyst target$454.76
- Graham number$61.29
Stock price
$375.36
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.51
3Y FCF CAGR
9.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$32.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,060.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.6%
Your model implies
44.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 40.7% | 39.7% | 38.7% | 37.7% | 36.5% |
| 9.5% | 43.5% | 42.7% | 41.8% | 40.9% | 39.9% |
| 10.5% | 46.2% | 45.5% | 44.7% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 11.5% | 48.8% | 48.1% | 47.4% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| 12.5% | 51.2% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 48.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.99
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.17B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.19
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Analog Devices (ADI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.57% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.11% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History16 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.