Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$115.79
Method range
$61.29 – $556.04
median $285.27
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $115.79 | -70.06% |
| Exit multiple | $556.04 | +43.78% |
| Analyst target | $454.76 | +17.59% |
| Graham number | $61.29 | -84.15% |
- Forward DCF$115.79
- Exit multiple$556.04
- Analyst target$454.76
- Graham number$61.29
Stock price
$386.73
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.51
3Y FCF CAGR
9.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$31.80
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
45.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,116.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.6%
Your model implies
45.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 41.5% | 40.6% | 39.6% | 38.5% | 37.3% |
| 9.6% | 44.3% | 43.5% | 42.6% | 41.7% | 40.7% |
| 10.6% | 47.0% | 46.3% | 45.5% | 44.7% | 43.8% |
| 11.6% | 49.5% | 48.9% | 48.2% | 47.5% | 46.7% |
| 12.6% | 52.0% | 51.4% | 50.8% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.99
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.17B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.19
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Analog Devices (ADI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.57% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.08% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History16 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.