Assured Guaranty (AGO) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
Archetype
Explosive
High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
Win rate
50.4%
2801 green · 2662 red · 92 flat · 5555 sessions
Current streak
2 red
As of May 22, 2026
Max win / lose streak
12 / 9 days
Win streak return: +11.76% · Lose: 9.09%
Median / σ daily
+0.036% · 3.003%
Avg green +1.79% · avg red 1.72%
Extreme days (>3%)
14.6%
415 up · 396 down
History from Apr 26, 2004 through May 22, 2026 · 5555 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
May 27, 2025 – May 22, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2008 | +36.94% |
| Nov 24, 2008 | +33.40% |
| Oct 13, 2008 | +25.66% |
| Apr 15, 2011 | +24.19% |
| May 8, 2009 | +23.19% |
| Mar 23, 2009 | +22.52% |
| Mar 24, 2020 | +22.33% |
| Mar 13, 2009 | +21.99% |
| Mar 6, 2009 | +21.52% |
| Nov 17, 2009 | +20.35% |
| Apr 3, 2009 | +19.93% |
| Nov 13, 2009 | +19.65% |
| Mar 10, 2009 | +19.63% |
| Jul 16, 2008 | +19.23% |
| Oct 31, 2008 | +17.05% |
| Jan 28, 2009 | +16.85% |
| Oct 2, 2020 | +16.41% |
| Dec 13, 2007 | +16.12% |
| Jan 23, 2008 | +15.96% |
| Mar 18, 2009 | +15.56% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2008 | 39.65% | 33 |
| Mar 18, 2020 | 26.88% | 6 |
| Nov 1, 2007 | 19.37% | 21 |
| Oct 6, 2008 | 19.33% | 166 |
| Mar 9, 2009 | 19.19% | 2 |
| Jan 20, 2009 | 18.78% | 57 |
| Nov 2, 2007 | 17.37% | 4 |
| Oct 15, 2008 | 16.30% | 36 |
| Jan 17, 2008 | 16.22% | 6 |
| Nov 19, 2008 | 15.41% | 3 |
| Sep 17, 2008 | 15.08% | 2 |
| Aug 4, 2022 | 14.92% | 60 |
| Aug 8, 2011 | 14.25% | 6 |
| Mar 2, 2009 | 13.98% | 9 |
| Sep 15, 2008 | 13.65% | 4 |
| Oct 24, 2008 | 13.41% | 5 |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 13.38% | 220 |
| Dec 1, 2008 | 13.37% | 3 |
| Jun 29, 2015 | 13.35% | 70 |
| Mar 30, 2009 | 13.32% | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Assured Guaranty (AGO)?
Historically, Assured Guaranty (AGO) closed green on 50.4% of trading days (2801 green, 2662 red, 92 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Assured Guaranty (AGO)?
As of 2026-05-22, Assured Guaranty (AGO) is on a 2-day losing streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Assured Guaranty (AGO)?
We label Assured Guaranty (AGO) as "explosive" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Assured Guaranty (AGO)?
Largest single-day gain: +36.94%. Largest single-day loss: 39.65%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Assured Guaranty (AGO)?
We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 14.6% of trading days for Assured Guaranty (AGO) were extreme (415 up, 396 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.
Explore more
AGO Overview
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AGO Buybacks
12.30% TTM buyback yield. Shareholder yield & SBC comparison.
AGO Dividend Profile
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AGO Dividend Calculator
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AGO Dividend Forecast
Project future income with DRIP, growth assumptions, and optional monthly contributions.
AGO Dividend Capture
Historical pre-ex touch stats, gap distribution, after-tax calculator, and a backtest simulator (limit-order vs MOC exit).
AGO Financials
Revenue, EPS, EBITDA, market cap, debt and balance sheet history with annual and quarterly data.