Albertsons Companies (ACI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.60), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ACI sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 24, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 85%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.60+0.22 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.60 | +0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.75% | -1.12pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.71% | +0.40pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.17 |
| Per-event yield | 1.01% |
| Annualized yield | 3.73% |
| Previously paid | Apr 24, 2026 ($0.17) |
| Last record date | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 8, 2026 |
ACI Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Albertsons Companies (ACI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.17 | -1.07% | $16.86 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.33% | -0.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.05% | $17.18 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -2.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.26% | $19.21 | >30 | no | no | -10.78% | -7.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.34% | $20.54 | >30 | no | no | -6.67% | -3.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.76% | $22.36 | 9 | no | yes | -4.07% | -1.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -0.35% | $19.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +2.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.22% | $18.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +0.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.59% | $20.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.00% | -1.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.40% | $20.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.00% | +3.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.27% | $21.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | -1.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.51% | $21.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.04% | +1.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.14% | $22.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.95% | -0.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.43% | $20.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +1.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.80% | $21.20 | 3 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.15% | $20.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.29% | +5.01% | |
| Q4 | $6.85 | -24.91% | $27.50 | >30 | no | no | -27.09% | -0.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.04% | $26.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +1.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -1.21% | $32.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.94% | -3.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.69% | $28.46 | 7 | no | yes | -7.70% | -0.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.70% | $30.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +15.43% |
- -0.42%
- -2.21%
- -7.13%
- -3.80%
- -1.25%
- +2.12%
- +0.87%
- -1.47%
- +3.89%
- -1.33%
- +1.89%
- -0.32%
- +1.49%
- +1.27%
- +5.01%
- -0.98%
- +1.77%
- -3.44%
- -0.63%
- +15.43%
ACI Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
ACI Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ACI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $34.00
- After-tax dividend
- $22.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$3.37
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$18.73
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.56%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~28.0%
ACI Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ACI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ACI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.40% | |
| -0.63% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.45% | |
| -0.98% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.76% | |
| -1.25% | |
| -3.80% | |
| -7.13% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +1.01% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.