Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ACI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1.26
Method range
$1.26 – $20.43
median $13.60
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1.26 | -92.28% |
| Exit multiple | $20.43 | +24.91% |
| Analyst target | $19.56 | +19.56% |
| Graham number | $7.64 | -53.31% |
- Forward DCF$1.26
- Exit multiple$20.43
- Analyst target$19.56
- Graham number$7.64
Stock price
$16.36
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.57
3Y FCF CAGR
-30.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.40
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
1.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1070.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-30.0%
Your model implies
1.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -30% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -5.9% |
| 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -5.9% |
| 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | -0.3% | -2.1% |
| 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.02
Low vs growth
Net debt
$15.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.23
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Albertsons Companies (ACI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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