AEM dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AEM sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.45.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.21
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.23% | +0.14pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.47% | +0.48pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 10 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.45
Per-event yield
0.25%
Annualized yield
1.19%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($0.45)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.45 | -3.62% | $183.15 | >30 | no | no | -17.72% | -11.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.80% | $251.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -17.87% | -10.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.84% | $174.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.16% | -5.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | 1.19% | $144.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +6.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.58% | $118.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -2.04% | $95.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +4.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.54% | $83.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +0.53% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.66% | $82.09 | 10 | no | yes | -6.87% | -4.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.22% | $68.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.14% | -6.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 1.02% | $48.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.60% | +13.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.33% | $53.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.46% | -0.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.85% | $49.14 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.09% | -2.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.72% | $50.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.76% | +1.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.39% | $45.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.16% | -0.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.74% | $49.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.44% | +4.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.09% | $42.30 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.39% | +2.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.59% | $54.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.07% | -0.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 0.23% | $52.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.13% | +17.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | 0.43% | $50.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.12% | -1.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | 0.09% | $57.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | +0.12% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with AEM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AEM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.25%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-4.91%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+222.39%
Best event
+0.95%
Worst event
-11.24%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AEM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.61% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.58% | |
| -4.79% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -11.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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