Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AEM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,374.14
Method range
$63.29 – $2,374.14
median $249.02
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,374.14 | +1,350.65% |
| Exit multiple | $262.65 | +60.49% |
| Analyst target | $235.38 | +43.82% |
| Graham number | $63.29 | -61.33% |
- Forward DCF$2,374.14
- Exit multiple$262.65
- Analyst target$235.38
- Graham number$63.29
Stock price
$163.66
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.45
3Y FCF CAGR
51.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1071.22
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
24.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 84.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
51.0%
Your model implies
24.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 51% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 9.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% |
| 6.4% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| 7.4% | 26.1% | 25.1% | 24.0% | 22.8% | 21.5% |
| 8.4% | 28.9% | 28.0% | 27.1% | 26.1% | 25.1% |
| 9.4% | 31.5% | 30.7% | 30.0% | 29.1% | 28.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.30
Fair vs growth
Net cash
$2.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.57
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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