Ticker League

Fair Value for United Bankshares (UBSI)

See growth priced into United Bankshares (UBSI): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what UBSI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$84.86

Margin of safety
+44.72% vs current price $46.91

Method range

$28.06 $84.86

median $46.45

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$84.86
  • Exit multiple$45.40
  • Analyst target$47.50
  • Graham number$28.06

Stock price

$46.91

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.12

3Y FCF CAGR

-7.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$9.51

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

13.8%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -393.5% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-7.1%

Your model implies

13.8%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)8.3%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-7%
3Y CAGR -7%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -7% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
6.3%10.1%9.1%7.9%6.6%5.1%
7.3%12.8%12.0%11.0%10.0%8.8%
8.3%15.3%14.5%13.8%12.9%12.0%
9.3%17.5%16.9%16.2%15.5%14.7%
10.3%19.6%19.1%18.5%17.9%17.2%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday11.7· at low
5Y low11.7
Median13.6
5Y high14.4
P/SToday3.0· at low
5Y low3.0
Median3.3
5Y high4.8
EV/EBITDAToday6.4
5Y low4.2
Median7.5
5Y high13.4

Net cash

$1.62B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.73

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions