Regency Centers (REG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.55), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, REG sits noticeably below the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 12, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.55+0.11 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.55 | +0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.63% | +0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.18% | +0.53pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
| Dividend | $0.76 |
| Per-event yield | 0.97% |
| Annualized yield | 3.70% |
| Previously paid | Mar 11, 2026 ($0.76) |
| Last record date | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 1, 2026 |
REG Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Regency Centers (REG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.76 | -1.45% | $78.16 | 21 | no | yes | -5.28% | -1.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.76 | -0.15% | $67.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +3.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.64% | $72.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.66% | -1.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.74% | $72.67 | 9 | no | yes | -4.02% | -1.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -1.07% | $73.71 | 14 | no | yes | -4.88% | -1.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -1.06% | $75.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.14% | -1.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.55% | $74.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.07% | -2.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | 0.89% | $60.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.45% | +2.87% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -1.53% | $61.95 | >30 | no | no | -5.54% | -3.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.44% | $64.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.01% | +3.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -0.08% | $64.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.13% | -1.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -1.13% | $60.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.25% | -1.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | 1.16% | $58.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.57% | -0.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -2.38% | $65.53 | 19 | no | yes | -7.07% | -3.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -1.66% | $59.75 | >30 | no | no | -12.37% | -5.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -1.08% | $57.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +3.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | 0.39% | $66.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +1.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.19% | $71.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.22% | +2.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.24% | $68.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.59% | -0.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -1.20% | $68.20 | >30 | no | no | -7.49% | -3.16% |
- -1.29%
- +3.11%
- -1.46%
- -1.71%
- -1.25%
- -1.21%
- -2.19%
- +2.87%
- -3.29%
- +3.05%
- -1.85%
- -1.05%
- -0.14%
- -3.98%
- -5.40%
- +3.54%
- +1.86%
- +2.37%
- -0.42%
- -3.16%
REG Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
REG Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with REG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $152.00
- After-tax dividend
- $98.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$15.63
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$83.17
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.53%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~26.8%
REG Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical REG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · REG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.16% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +1.09% | |
| -5.40% | |
| -3.98% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.04% | |
| -3.29% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.94% | |
| -1.25% | |
| -1.71% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +1.11% | |
| -1.29% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.