Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what REG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3,416.62
Method range
$23.62 – $3,416.62
median $78.84
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3,416.62 | +4,296.06% |
| Exit multiple | $74.79 | -3.77% |
| Analyst target | $82.89 | +6.65% |
| Graham number | $23.62 | -69.61% |
- Forward DCF$3,416.62
- Exit multiple$74.79
- Analyst target$82.89
- Graham number$23.62
Stock price
$77.72
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.25
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.98
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2505.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.8%
Your model implies
42.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 38.2% | 37.0% | 35.6% | 34.0% | 32.3% |
| 7.8% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 39.4% | 38.2% | 36.8% |
| 8.8% | 44.7% | 43.8% | 42.8% | 41.7% | 40.6% |
| 9.8% | 47.6% | 46.8% | 45.9% | 45.0% | 44.0% |
| 10.8% | 50.3% | 49.6% | 48.8% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.84
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Regency Centers (REG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation